Current global climate models (GCMs) support with high confidence the view that rising greenhouse gases and other anthropogenic forcings account for nearly all observed global surface warming—slightly ...

Stochastic modelling of climate variability seeks to characterise the inherently unpredictable elements of the Earth’s climate system as probabilistic processes. At its core, this approach ...

One of the most pervasive misunderstandings of climate — even among some who publish on climate — is the belief that any long-term trend in a measured climate variable indicates a change in climate, ...

Visit NAP.edu/10766 to get more information about this book, to buy it in print, or to download it as a free PDF.

A new global review of observed climate change impacts on plant communities reveals major gaps in where and how we monitor ...

A new Murdoch University study has found that cold-blooded animals (ectotherms) are unable to adjust physiologically to daily temperature fluctuations, a limitation that could leave them increasingly ...

Between 2021 and 2023, Antarctica appeared to be growing. Heavy snowfall caused parts of the continent to gain mass, leading some to question whether climate change is really causing irreversible ...

What is the range of natural variability in climate? Climate is continually varying on time scales ranging from seasons to the lifetime of Earth. Natural climate changes can take place on short time ...

As a potentially historic El Niño builds in the Pacific, evidence suggests that climate change is ratcheting up the intensity ...